If China invades Taiwan, the US would destroy the island’s semiconductor factories to avoid China from taking them over, a former national security advisor told Semafor.
Robert O’Brien, who served as national security advisor under former President Donald Trump, said the US “and its allies are never going to let those factories fall into Chinese hands.”
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company is the world’s largest chipmaker, making up an estimated 90% of the market for advanced processors. The company produces chips for most devices and equipment like phones and cars that are used every day. More advanced chips produced by the manufacturer are used in highly advanced technology like machine learning and guided missiles.
If China were to take control of these factories in the case of an invasion, the country would be “like the new OPEC of silicon chips,” O’Brien said, adding that China would be able to “control the world economy.”
The former advisor compared the US destroying the factories to when former British Prime Minister Winston Churchill ordered the destruction of France’s naval fleet during World War II after France surrendered to Germany, per Semafor.
Neither O’Brien nor TSMC immediately responded to Insider’s request for comment.
Apple is TSMC’s biggest customer, and the manufacturer produces most of the 1.4 billion smartphone processors in the world. Around 60% of automakers also reportedly use the chips made by the company.
Although a lot of the research and development for semiconductors happens in the US, the last 30 years saw manufacturers deciding it was best to outsource manufacturing, William Alan Reinsch, a senior advisor at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, previously told Insider.
“You build a big factory and you crank these things out by the thousands, and you do it in a low-wage, nonunion country that probably doesn’t have environmental requirements,” Reinsch said. “You keep all the design and IP at home and you do all your sales, marketing, and service at home, and that’s where you make the money.”
O’Brien is not the first to raise the idea of destroying Taiwan’s semiconductor factories if China invades. Two US scholars recommended the move in a paper published by the US Army War College in 2021.
“To start, the United States and Taiwan should lay plans for a targeted scorched-earth strategy that would render Taiwan not just unattractive if ever seized by force, but positively costly to maintain,” the paper said. “This could be done most effectively by threatening to destroy facilities belonging to the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, the most important chipmaker in the world and China’s most important supplier. Samsung based in South Korea (a US ally) is the only alternative for cutting-edge designs.”
But Chen Ming-tong, the director-general of Taiwan’s National Security Bureau, has previously said it would be unnecessary for the US to destroy Taiwan’s semiconductor factories in the case of an invasion, because the system is already deeply integrated into the global supply chain, meaning that production can be shut down by the US and other countries without physically destroying the factories.
For example, TSMC wouldn’t be able to produce certain chips without components from Dutch supplier ASML, Chen said. “Even if China got a hold of the golden hen, it won’t be able to lay golden eggs,” Chen said.
As tensions between mainland China and Taiwan continue to escalate, analysts are predicting a Chinese invasion of the island within the next few years. If China does invade Taiwan, “that would be the biggest impact we’ve seen to the global economy — possibly ever,” Glenn O’Donnell, the vice president and research director at Forrester, previously told Insider, adding that it could be worse than the stock market crash in 1929.
来源 ：business insider商业内幕
原文链接 :https://www.businessinsider.com/us-would-destroy-taiwan-semiconductor-factories-avoid-china-trump-adviser-2023-3
你各位葱油如何看待这则消息？
先是拜伯伦被爆出所谓的“摧毁台湾计划”，现在又有个前高管扔了个舆论核弹。
重点还是朝野&不同党派之间连续出现类似言论。
现在是怎样？美国内部出了内鬼走漏消息还是吃了失智老赵的口水集体降智才会在现今这种时候当猪队友？
更个 ：
似乎小弟解释的不够清楚以至于部分葱油完全无法理解小弟的担忧，
在此先致上歉意，请容许我更详细的说明。
这类言论如果是出现在战时小弟我还不担心，毕竟真的没有将身家拱手让人尤其是贼寇的道理。
可是如果是尚未开战时，出现这类言论你觉得会如何？
答案就是 ： 疑美论
此前由于拜博伦的“毁灭台湾”发言已经给了第五纵队大肆炒作的素材，（虽然最后抓包爆料者是2D的奸细）
但是这次欧布莱恩的言论无疑再次成了支共网军疑美论新一轮的薪火。
我担心长久下去类似的事件持续发酵，一些媒体识读能力不足的普通人真的会开始抵触欧美国家甚至会认为支共没想象中来的拉跨这类想法。
别不相信，现在的台湾内部甚至还有大部分觉得和支共政府能在九二共识以外有商量余地的傻白甜。
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